Press Release

What the cash report says:

“The New York State Comptroller’s July cash basis report shows that tax receipts for the month of July continue to stabilize for the third month in a row after a shortfall in April. The July receipts confirm that New York’s tax base and economy remain strong, and that shortfalls in April reflected weaker-than-expected capital gains in tax year 2022 rather than a deterioration in current economic conditions.

“Total State funds receipts for the month of July were 12.9 percent above projections and 11.3 percent above July 2022 levels. Personal income tax receipts were 11.2 percent above projections. Business and consumption taxes both exceeded projections and 2022 receipts as well. Year-to-date receipts remain below the same months in 2022 due entirely to decreased April 2023 receipts. The month of April 2023 remains an outlier due to weak capital gains and volatility from the state’s Pass-Through Entity Tax (PTET).

What the data indicate:

“Three months of strong tax receipts confirm that the state economy remains robust, and align with improving economic forecasts. While predictions of a recession have been revised to show less risk on the horizon, there is always the possibility of unforeseen events that change the forecasted path of the economy. However, with cash reserves of $19.5 billion, the State is in a strong position to manage any future revenue shortfalls by drawing on reserves. In the event of a prolonged economic downturn, it is imperative that the State sustain its public services by drawing on these robust reserves.”