Economic Outlook

State Corporate Tax Cut Would Cost New York $1.2 Billion in Annual Revenue

A return to historically low 6.5% corporate tax rate would give corporations a $1.5 billion tax cut by the end of FY 2025 Press Contact: Monica Klein, press@fiscalpolicy.org   January 2023 Key Findings New York’s corporate tax rate was increased in 2021. This tax increase has raised $3.4 billion of additional revenue to date. Corporate tax revenue exceeded initial expectations by $750 million over FY 2022-2024. If New York cuts its corporate tax rate this year, returning [...]

November Cash Basis Report shows higher than expected Personal Income Tax receipts

NY Personal Income Tax has raised $37.8 billion year to date — 37.5% more than state projections Press Contact: Monica Klein, 917-565-0715press@fiscalpolicy.org NEW YORK, NY | December 19, 2022 — The New York State Comptroller this week released its November 2022 cash basis report, which documents recent trends in state spending and revenue. Key Points:In Fiscal Year 2023, New York’s personal income tax (PIT) has raised $37.8 billion year to date — 37.5 percent more than state projections.Since COVID, the last [...]

Personal Income Tax Revenue Exceeds Projections in Mid-Year Financial Plan

PIT receipts continue to bring in significant revenue & effectively support state spending Press Contact: Monica Klein, 917-565-0715 press@fiscalpolicy.org NEW YORK, NY | November 15, 2022 — In its Mid-Year Financial Plan Update, the New York State Division of the Budget (DOB) reported that tax revenues continue to exceed previous projections. Personal Income Tax (PIT) receipts continue to outperform expectations — bringing in $48.95 billion — nearly $2 billion more than projected in the enacted budget financial [...]

FPI Statement on New NYS Labor Data and Comptroller DiNapoli’s Labor Force Report

New York added 456,000 jobs from June 2021 to June 2022 — making New York the fifth fastest growing job market in the United States Press Contact: Monica Klein, 917-565-0715 press@fiscalpolicy.org NEW YORK, NY | November 22, 2022 — Nathan Gusdorf, Executive Director of the Fiscal Policy Institute, today released the following statement:  “Recent data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics today reveal New York State added 456,000 jobs from June 2021 to June 2022, which [...]

October Cash Basis Report shows higher than expected Personal Income Tax receipts

Last three financial plan revenue estimates dramatically underestimated PIT revenue Press Contact: Monica Klein, 917-565-0715 press@fiscalpolicy.org NEW YORK, NY | November 21, 2022 — The New York State Comptroller this week released its October 2022 cash basis report, which documents recent trends in state spending and revenue. Key Points: In fiscal year 2023, New York’s personal income tax (PIT) has raised $35.1 billion year to date. Since Covid, the last three financial plans have all dramatically underestimated [...]

Fact Sheet: State and Local Government Employment Has Been Largely Static, With Full-Time Jobs Eliminated in Critical Areas

Full-time employment in state government jobs grew by only 1 percent in New York State between 2010-2019, with the number of those employed totaling just over 236,000 in 2019. At the same time, local government employment decreased by 1 percent for full-time employees, with the number of employed totaling just over 882,000 in 2019, down from 893,000 in 2010. Full-time employment losses in both state and local government affected the areas of health, natural resources, and social and public welfare. Employment losses in health and [...]

Fact Sheet: Black New York Workers Have Been Hit Hard By The Pandemic Statewide

THE COVID‐19 PANDEMIC HAD AN UNPRECEDENTED EFFECT ON THE JOBS AND INCOMES OF NEW YORK STATE RESIDENTS, in addition to upending social norms and taking the lives of thousands. However, the pandemic’s burden was not evenly distributed across our population. The Fiscal Policy Institute found that Black workers statewide, who already had a higher rate of unemployment prior to the pandemic, experienced even greater losses. Our first analysis compares the employment measures among Black New Yorkers between March to November 2019 and March to November [...]

Holiday Season Underscores the New Yorkers’ Need for Support as Pandemic Deepens Inequity

Read the report:  The Pandemic Recession: Hitting Immigrants and People of Color Hardest  (Albany, NY) — The holiday season is beginning in our state as never before with a second COVID wave bearing down on the health and financial stability of New Yorkers. While the COVID-19 is a threat to us all, immigrants and people of color are by far hit the hardest. And undocumented immigrants may be hit harder still since they are concentrated in several of the industries that have seen the biggest employment decline.  “New Yorkers across the board are struggling to stay healthy, educate our children, and deal with financial insecurity of [...]

NYC Labor Market Took a Hard, Sustained Hit from the Pandemic

New York City Residents were hit harder and longer by the pandemic than those in the rest of the state. While both the city and the state have shown job gains since May 2020, the rebound has been modest. The road to recovery is long. Looking at the Employment to Population ratio (EPOP), we can see both are doing worse than during the Great Recession when the New York state EPOP never dropped below 57.7 percent and averaged 59.3 percent over the whole period. The [...]

2020-12-30T09:50:13-05:00November 10th, 2020|Blog, Economic Outlook|

Pandemic Economics Demand A Diverse Response

October 14, 2020 In light of New Jersey's adoption of a millionaires tax to help fill a statewide revenue hole caused by the coronavirus, many asked what about New York? Like New Jersey, New York was hard hit by the pandemic, and its economy continues to suffer. Like New Jersey, New York has historic fiscal problems with a budget shortage of $14.5 billion this year, and in the tens of billions of dollars over the next several years. Like New Jersey, we continue to wait on the federal government [...]

Over 40% of New Yorkers Uncounted as Feds Call for Early Halt to 2020 Census

8/4/2020 On Monday, August 3, 2020, the Census Bureau issued a statement, confirming reports that it plans for all 2020 census counting efforts to be cut four weeks short of what was expected. This is the federal administration’s latest attempt to inject an element of chaos and intimidation into what should be a unifying and democratic process. In April, the Census Bureau asked all households to respond to its 10-question survey either online or by mail. For those who did not respond, there has been [...]

2020-12-30T10:00:11-05:00August 7th, 2020|Blog, Economic Outlook, Governance|

New York Must Act Now to Support Excluded Workers

Workers and families left without support for months   Read the full report: Unemployment Compensation for Excluded Workers: Helping New Yorkers, Boosting the Local Economy (Albany, NY) State unemployment benefits were expanded in significant ways for most New Yorkers who lost their jobs during the pandemic. However, tens of thousands of New York workers and their families were left adrift without federal or state assistance. The Fiscal Policy Institute’s new report shows that our state can act to create and fund a system to support these workers.  [...]

Second Round of Economic Impact Payments Needed

Millions of New Yorkers remain unemployed due to COVID-19. With federal assistance set to end in July, the situation is dire as these payments were used to cover basic essentials for workers and their families - and those who were excluded from CARES Act support and state unemployment assistance continue to struggle. The facts are stark. "Over 9.3 million New Yorkers—48 percent of the state’s population—received Economic Impact Payments (EIP) totaling over $15 billion by May 22, 2020. Undocumented immigrants, as well as married couples [...]

2020-12-30T10:02:38-05:00July 27th, 2020|Blog, Economic Outlook|

The Fiscal Policy Institute’s Three-Point Plan for Re-Building New York

 May 27, 2020. The Fiscal Policy Institute today warned state legislators and the governor that New York’s financial and social woes will only worsen if they attempt to return to an austerity budget model. The pandemic's public health crisis and subsequent economic downturn deepened an existing budget shortfall and with the deficit projected to be at least $13 billion, the state faces an extraordinary fiscal challenge. There is no simple solution to this crisis which will require bold innovation from our state leadership.  Read the Policy Paper: Minimizing Risks While Maximizing Our State's Potential [...]

2021-02-01T15:29:40-05:00June 15th, 2020|Blog, Economic Outlook, Must Read|
Go to Top