Tax & Budget

FPI Briefing on the Federal Budget Reconciliation Bill

The OBBBA spending cuts are concentrated in Medicaid and food stamps (SNAP), with devastating effects for New Yorkers. The bill will cut federal funding to the  New York State budget by approximately $10 billion annually and kick 1.5 million New Yorkers off their health insurance, more than doubling the statewide uninsured population. On top of the direct fiscal costs to New York State, the OBBBA will cut an additional $13 billion in funding to New York’s healthcare system.

Financial Plan Analysis of FY 2026 Enacted Budget

On Friday, June 13, New York State’s Division of the Budget released its financial plan for this year’s enacted State budget. The financial plan forecasts a national economic slowdown over the next four years as well as dramatic federal budget cuts. These forecasts indicate that the State will likely need to implement tax increases to manage the fallout from federal economic and fiscal policy.

New York Will Lose $15.4 Billion Per Year Under The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act”

The OBBBA spending cuts are concentrated in Medicaid and food stamps (SNAP), with devastating effects for New Yorkers. The bill will cost the New York State government $15.4 billion annually and kick 1.5 million New Yorkers off their health insurance, more than doubling the statewide uninsured population.

Budget Breakdown: Fiscal Year 2026 Enacted Budget

The Enacted Budget, while it contains few significant new policy initiatives, allows state spending to recover some of the lost ground from a decade of austerity policies in the 2010s. The most important policy measure in the budget is a long overdue increase in unemployment insurance benefits that will better prepare the State economy for a possible recession (discussed in detail below). The bad news is that the Enacted Budget contains serious fiscal errors, including permanent tax cuts and one-time payments that will cost $3 billion in fiscal year 2026 alone.

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