On January 13, Governor Hochul will deliver the State of the State speech, which is expected to address matters of affordability in New York and the State’s relationship with the federal government. FPI here releases summaries of two previous publications on the State’s fiscal outlook and the tax breaks that New York’s millionaire earners will receive from the federal government this year.
The State’s ability to pursue bold policy initiatives will depend on its fiscal outlook, which faces serious challenges in the coming years due to federal funding cuts. These are the issues to look out for in Governor Hochul's address.
New York's public school system, built in the nineteenth century, entitles New Yorkers aged five to twenty-one to free education. More recently, policymakers, including Governor Hochul and Mayor-elect Mamdani, have committed to finishing the project by extending universal education and care to children under the age of five.
New York's public school system, built in the nineteenth century, entitles New Yorkers aged five to twenty-one to free education. More recently, policymakers, including Governor Hochul and Mayor-elect Mamdani, have committed to finishing the project by extending universal education and care to children under the age of five.
The single most decisive factor in whether New York City ends up with a truly universal childcare system is whether that system is supported by sustainable, recurring revenue that grows with the program over time.
New York State’s Division of the Budget forecasts overestimate the risk of revenue shortfalls but also underestimate the OBBBA impacts, thereby minimizing their impact on the state budget.
New Mexico will remove all income limits for its childcare assistance program, allowing residents of all income levels to receive childcare subsidies. New Mexico’s efforts could provide insight on the scale of investment needed to reach universality in New York.
New York State often faces calls for higher tax revenue, whether due to concerns over revenue shortfalls or a desire to increase public spending. This brief assesses the soundness of raising revenue through the Personal Income Tax, examining the fiscal stability of such revenue, fundamental fairness considerations, and responses to common arguments against raising the state income tax.
New data released this morning show that inequality is rising in New York, with income gains for the state’s richest residents driving statewide wage growth well above the national average.
Rent Guidelines Board votes to lower range of possible rent increases for 2-year leases Download the Slides Watch the Testimony Last Thursday, FPI’s Chief Economist, Emily Eisner, testified to the Rent Guidelines Board (RGB) of New York City, at the invitation of one of the Board’s Tenant members, Adán Soltren. Dr. Eisner's testimony made the case that current economic conditions and uncertainty regarding federal housing and safety-net policy demand that the RGB [...]
A reduction of $10 billion in federal Medicaid funding would result in the direct loss of over 78,000 jobs in healthcare across the state and over 136,000 additional jobs lost through economic spillovers.
Stagflation is the deadly combination of low growth and high inflation. With the implementation of sweeping and high tariffs by the federal government, most economists and forecasters currently predict something resembling “stagflation” on the Unites States’ economic horizon. But New York may have already entered a period of stagflation: New York’s economy has recovered the jobs lost during the Covid-19 pandemic, but lags the economic growth seen in the rest of the country.
Unemployment insurance stabilizes the state economy during economic downturns, but New York’s UI system has been insolvent for decades and UI benefits are inadequate to keep workers out of poverty.
Population growth, widening inequality, and cost-of-living strains
New York’s economy depends on immigrants, including those without documentation. Deportation of these workers would dramatically decrease affordability and availability of food, homes, and care—all basic needs for New Yorkers.