FPI Briefing: First Look at the Executive Budget FY 2027
A recording of FPI's First Look briefing about Executive Budget FY 2027, delivered on January 22, 2026.
A recording of FPI's First Look briefing about Executive Budget FY 2027, delivered on January 22, 2026.
Governor Hochul's Executive Budget includes commitment to partnering with Mayor Mamdani in pursuing universal childcare and acknowledgement of the State's strong fiscal condition. But it shows no plan to prevent the twin crises that will result from federal funding cuts under the so-called “One Big Beautiful Bill Act”
A recording of FPI's briefing in response to the State of the State FY 2027, delivered on January 15, 2026.
On January 13, Governor Hochul delivered her annual address on the State of the State for Fiscal Year 2027. Her address centered affordability in New York, putting forward a flagship new deal with New York City to expand universal childcare statewide. However, the Governor’s speech has a glaring omission: the impact of Federal cuts on health insurance for up to one million New Yorkers.
On January 13, Governor Hochul will deliver the State of the State speech, which is expected to address matters of affordability in New York and the State’s relationship with the federal government. FPI here releases summaries of two previous publications on the State’s fiscal outlook and the tax breaks that New York’s millionaire earners will receive from the federal government this year.
The State’s ability to pursue bold policy initiatives will depend on its fiscal outlook, which faces serious challenges in the coming years due to federal funding cuts. These are the issues to look out for in Governor Hochul's address.
New York's public school system, built in the nineteenth century, entitles New Yorkers aged five to twenty-one to free education. More recently, policymakers, including Governor Hochul and Mayor-elect Mamdani, have committed to finishing the project by extending universal education and care to children under the age of five.
The single most decisive factor in whether New York City ends up with a truly universal childcare system is whether that system is supported by sustainable, recurring revenue that grows with the program over time.
New York State’s Division of the Budget forecasts overestimate the risk of revenue shortfalls but also underestimate the OBBBA impacts, thereby minimizing their impact on the state budget.
The OBBBA will save New York taxpayers who earn $1 million in annual income a collective $12 billion in federal taxes each year. This is equivalent to an annual average tax cut of $129,600 per millionaire taxpayer, 2.7 percent of their total income.
With the federal shutdown entering its thirtieth day, it is now expected that federal funding for SNAP benefits (food stamps) will run out at the end of October. This morning, Governor Hochul announced an additional $65 million in funding for charitable food assistance, bringing overall state funding for emergency food assistance to $106 million. We commend the governor for her efforts to keep New Yorkers fed while the federal government gambles with human lives. The best way to ensure that the forty-two [...]
New York State often faces calls for higher tax revenue, whether due to concerns over revenue shortfalls or a desire to increase public spending. This brief assesses the soundness of raising revenue through the Personal Income Tax, examining the fiscal stability of such revenue, fundamental fairness considerations, and responses to common arguments against raising the state income tax.
On September 15, 2025, two members of FPI's senior staff presented testimony to the New York City Council on the impacts of the federal legislation known as the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act."
Pollster used discredited Republican talking points on OBBBA
A Q&A about federal funding cuts