Recent Work
July Cash Receipts Remain Steady for Third Straight Month
Three months of strong tax receipts confirm State economy remains robust & align with improving economic forecasts ALBANY, NY | August 16, 2023 — The State Comptroller released its July Cash Report today, showing that July tax receipts came in over projections and over July 2022 levels:July 2023 receipts: $7.75 billionJuly 2023 projections: $6.87 billionJuly 2022 receipts: $6.97 billionFollowing the cash report release, Fiscal Policy Institute Executive Director Nathan Gusdorf released the following statements: What the cash report says: "The New York State Comptroller's July cash basis report shows that tax receipts [...]
State Economic Update: Recession Unlikely, Tax Receipts Stable
Recent revisions to economic forecasts have significantly lowered expectations of a recession. This has positive implications for the State’s fiscal outlook, as improved economic performance should translate into higher tax receipts.
June Cash Receipts Continue to Stabilize Following April Volatility
The New York State Comptroller's June cash basis report shows that tax receipts for the month of June have stabilized after a shortfall in April. The stable June receipts confirm that New York’s tax base and economy remain strong, and that shortfalls in April reflected weaker-than-expected capital gains in tax year 2022 rather than an imminent downturn.
Fiscal Year 2024 Enacted Budget Financial Plan Analysis
New outyear budget gaps in the fiscal year 2024 Enacted Budget Financial Plan reflect heightened pessimism about the state’s economic trajectory by the State’s Division of Budget (DOB). While all economic projections are highly uncertain, the State is well-equipped to weather economic turbulence if these projections do materialize.
May Cash Receipts Begin to Stabilize Following April Volatility
Following the release of the State Comptroller's May Cash Report yesterday, Fiscal Policy Institute Executive Director Nathan Gusdorf today released the following statements: "The New York State Comptroller's May cash basis report shows that total tax receipts for fiscal year 2024 to date are 3.4 percent over the projections in the Enacted Budget financial plan, with Personal Income Tax receipts to date exceeding such projections by 5.5 percent."
Low Expectations: Understanding the NYC Budget Gap
The Fiscal Policy Institute today released a new report, "Low Expectations: Understanding the NYC Budget Gap." Through an analysis of the past ten years of New York City outyear budget gaps, the report illustrates how the City uses conservative budget forecasting to protect against economic downturns, and outlines why lawmakers should not misinterpret outyear budget gaps as large impending deficits.
Exempting Suburbs from Payroll Mobility Tax Would Cost MTA $200 Million
As the legislature currently contemplates a Payroll Mobility Tax (PMT) increase from 0.34 percent to 0.5 percent to fund the MTA, the Fiscal Policy Institute today released a new report, Who Should Pay the Payroll Mobility Tax? The Case Against Excluding Suburban Counties.
Overview of Fiscal Year 2024 Executive vs Legislative Budget Proposals
The fiscal year 2024 Executive Budget limits spending growth to 2.0 percent, with new spending concentrated in Medicaid and School Aid. In contrast, the Assembly proposes budget growth of 5.9 percent, reflecting additional investments in the MTA, SUNY and CUNY, and assistance for low-income renters, paid for through increased taxes on multimillionaires and corporations.
The True Cost of Tuition Hikes on SUNY & CUNY Students
The Governor’s executive budget for fiscal year 2024 aims to increase funding for New York State’s public university system, in part through sharp tuition increases. For the State University of New York’s (SUNY) four university centers, the tuition increases could result in a 51 percent tuition increase over five years. Tuition hikes of this size would represent a generational shift in New York State’s higher education landscape, moving its public universities from among the most accessible in the U.S. to among the most expensive. In doing so, these hikes could jeopardize the universities’ role as engines of upward economic mobility.
Revenue Analysis: One House Budget Tax Proposals
Following the release of the State Senate and Assembly Budget Proposals, the Fiscal Policy Institute today released annual revenue estimates for the Personal Income Tax, Corporate Tax, and Corporate Tax Surcharge proposals.
Fact vs Fiction: The Truth About New York’s Corporate Tax
March 8, 2023 Most businesses do not pay the corporate tax. Only corporations pay the corporate tax, and approximately 95% of businesses are not corporations. [1] Most businesses are partnerships, LLCs, S-corporations, or sole proprietorships, none of which pay the corporate tax. The biggest corporations pay most of the tax. More than 80% of corporations in New York pay less than $1,000 in tax. [2] Around 75% of all New York corporate tax revenue comes from the 500 most profitable corporations. [3] Corporations are taxed on where they do business, not where they are [...]
FPI Statement on FY 2024 Executive Budget
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: February 1, 2023 Media Contact: press@fiscalpolicy.org FPI Statement on FY 2024 Executive Budget "As we head into a possible recession, it is essential to invest in the public services that stabilize the quality of life and the cost of living for working New Yorkers" ALBANY, NY | February 1, 2023 — Fiscal Policy Institute Executive Director Nathan Gusdorf today issued the following statement: “While Governor Hochul’s budget recognizes the importance of making New York affordable and livable for working families, the budget as a whole does [...]
Housing Costs, Not Taxes, Drive Migration out of New York
The typical family that moves out of New York State saves 15 times more from lower housing costs than they do from lower taxes. Of the top twenty largest county-to-county moves out of New York State, annual mortgage costs are on average $18,300, or 34 percent, lower outside New York.
State Corporate Tax Cut Would Cost New York $1.2 Billion in Annual Revenue
If New York cuts its corporate tax rate this year, returning the rate to 6.5 percent, the impact on state revenue will be significant: The state will lose $1.2 billion in fiscal year 2025. Revenue losses will begin in the last quarter of fiscal year 2024, costing the state nearly $300 million for that quarter.
Fiscal Policy Institute on State of the State
In response to Governor Kathy Hochul’s 2023 State of the State, Fiscal Policy Institute Executive Director Nathan Gusdorf today issued the following statement: “In her State of the State, Governor Kathy Hochul laid out a wide-ranging agenda that identified many of the crises facing New Yorkers — but was silent on the need for new revenue. The Governor cannot deliver on an agenda to expand affordable housing and healthcare, strengthen our schools, and transition our state to a green economy without new funding. There is no credible vision to rebuild New York after Covid without new revenue."